Tanzanian opposition leader Tundu Lissu is pushing for significant electoral reforms ahead of the upcoming elections. Before his recent arrest, Lissu emphasized the need for a list of essential changes to ensure free and fair elections in Tanzania. His party, Chadema, is advocating for the establishment of an independent national electoral commission that is not linked to the government. Lissu’s lawyer, Mr. Amsterdam, stated that this reform should be included in the constitution.
Chadema also insists that in cases of electoral disputes, the electoral commission should prove that the elections were conducted fairly. However, Lissu’s approach has faced challenges within his own party. A faction known as G-55 has suggested that Chadema should participate in the elections while negotiating with the government, a strategy similar to that of the second-largest opposition party, ACT-Wazalendo. This party, along with 16 smaller opposition groups, has agreed to a code of conduct, but Chadema has opted out.
Lissu seems to draw inspiration from Kenya, where public protests led to government concessions last year. He believes Tanzanians need to push harder for democratic reforms, stating that the Kenyan experience should serve as a model. Yet, many Tanzanians appear hesitant to support such a bold campaign, fearing backlash from the government.
Amsterdam noted that a stubborn government could motivate Chadema’s supporters to engage in civil disobedience. He indicated that the party would utilize all legal and political avenues available to pursue change. However, political analyst Thomas Kibwana expressed concerns about the timing of Lissu’s strategy. With the current parliament’s term ending in June, he doubts there is enough time to implement major reforms before the October elections. Kibwana suggested that it might be wiser for Chadema to wait until after the elections to push for changes.
Fulgence Massawe, a director of a legal rights organization in Tanzania, acknowledged the hurdles Chadema faces in seeking electoral reforms. He affirmed the party’s right to challenge its exclusion from the elections in court. Meanwhile, analyst Mr. Minde warned that if Chadema is barred from participating, the ruling party could strengthen its already dominant position in parliament. He cautioned that Chadema risked losing its status as the main opposition party, allowing other parties to gain traction.
Lissu and Chadema have chosen a risky path in their quest for reform. The coming months will determine whether their strategy will resonate with the Tanzanian public or if it will lead to further challenges for the opposition.