Are India and Pakistan Bracing for a Naval Confrontation in Potential Future Conflicts?

Indian Defence Minister Rajnath Singh made headlines during his visit to the Indian Navy’s aircraft carrier, INS Vikrant, on May 30. This visit came shortly after a ceasefire was reached with Pakistan following a four-day conflict that raised tensions between the two nations. Singh, sporting an Indian Navy cap, expressed strong sentiments regarding Pakistan’s situation, implying that the country was fortunate that the Indian Navy had not been deployed during the recent clashes.

Standing on the deck of the 860-foot vessel, Singh emphasized the effectiveness of the Indian Navy, stating, “Despite remaining silent, the Indian Navy succeeded in tying down the Pakistani Army.” He hinted at the potential consequences if the Navy were to take action, saying, “Just imagine what will happen when someone who can keep a country’s army locked in a bottle, even by remaining silent, speaks up?”

In response, the Pakistan Navy quickly issued a statement on June 1, announcing a two-day exercise aimed at countering threats to its ports and harbors. This was a direct reply to Singh’s remarks and showcased Pakistan’s readiness to defend its maritime interests.

The recent conflict was triggered by a deadly attack in Indian-administered Kashmir on April 22, which killed 26 civilians. India accused Pakistan of backing the attackers, a claim that Pakistan denied. Following the attack, India launched missile strikes on May 7, targeting various locations in Pakistan, which resulted in significant casualties. Over the next few days, both countries exchanged artillery fire and air strikes, bringing the region to the brink of war.

Throughout this period, both navies remained largely passive observers but were prepared for action. The Indian Navy’s aircraft carrier was deployed in the Arabian Sea for several days, while Pakistan also mobilized its fleet, highlighting the growing significance of naval forces in their ongoing conflict.

Historically, naval engagements between India and Pakistan have varied. After gaining independence in 1947, India inherited a larger portion of naval assets. The 1965 war saw Pakistan expand its naval fleet, which included the acquisition of submarines. The 1971 war marked a decisive turn, with India achieving significant victories at sea, which played a crucial role in its overall military success.

Since then, India has focused on building a powerful navy capable of projecting force across the Indian Ocean, whereas Pakistan has concentrated on its land and air forces, with its navy primarily tasked with coastal defense. This difference in strategy reflects their respective military priorities and economic capabilities.

Looking ahead, Singh’s recent comments suggest a potential shift towards a more assertive naval role in future conflicts. Analysts believe that if tensions escalate again, the navies of both countries could become actively involved, raising the stakes significantly. Any engagement at sea could lead to heightened risks, especially given the nuclear capabilities of both nations.

As the situation continues to evolve, the focus remains on how these maritime forces will shape the future of India-Pakistan relations. The recent exercises and statements from both sides indicate that the naval aspect of their military strategies is becoming increasingly important.